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games picked by the same four people, every week of every season since 2018.
The only goal has ever been to not finish last.
Who has actually lost
There is no trophy and no champion — the pool's only stake is avoiding last place.
Across eight completed seasons it has landed on three of the four of you. Cards are ordered
by the thing that counts.
Margin of survival · how close third place came to being last
The gap between last place and the player just above them. A short bar is a near miss;
2023 was a dead heat settled by a coinflip.
Islands · the picks nobody else made
An island is a game where one player was alone on their side. Islands are the only
picks that can separate anyone — and they are where seasons are lost as often as won.
Where everyone finished
Finishing position by season, last place along the bottom. The shaded band is the
only position that matters.
Correct picks, season by season
Better or worse? Gap to the field
Raw win rate rises and falls with how chaotic the NFL was that year, which moves
everyone together and hides real change. This shows each player against the four-player average
for that same season, so only genuine separation shows up. Above the line is better than the room.